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Kumagaya

熊谷 · 埼玉県

Autumn colour outlook

Wed, Oct 21

Maple
Unlikely
Ginkgo
Unlikely
PossibleLikelyVery likelyOctNovDecJantoday

These curves follow one maple and one ginkgo tree in Kumagaya; temples and parks can peak at different times.

How the city score is calculated
  • Japan Meteorological Corporation forecasts Kumagaya's maple to colour on Dec 5 (round 2, released Oct 1).
  • Its past forecasts typically missed by 4.3 days.
  • In Kumagaya, peak usually lasts 14 days, from colouring to leaf-fall (median, JMA records).
  • Method: the JMC forecast blended 50/50 with the last ~10 years of JMA records, both updated as days pass without colouring.
  • Future days are capped at 85%: weeks ahead, nothing is certain.
  • JMA has not yet recorded colouring of Kumagaya's specimen maple.
  • In a normal year (1991–2020) the maple colours around Dec 1.

Ginkgo

  • Japan Meteorological Corporation forecasts Kumagaya's ginkgo to colour on Dec 6 (round 2, released Oct 1).
  • Its past forecasts typically missed by 4.9 days.
  • In Kumagaya, peak usually lasts 7 days, from colouring to leaf-fall (median, JMA records).
  • Method: the JMC forecast blended 50/50 with the last ~9 years of JMA records, both updated as days pass without colouring.
  • Future days are capped at 85%: weeks ahead, nothing is certain.
  • JMA has not yet recorded colouring of Kumagaya's specimen ginkgo.
  • In a normal year (1991–2020) the ginkgo colours around Nov 28.

Spot reports

Last reported Oct NaN

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